Monday, 1 July 2019

GUNUNG - LETS CLIMB THE MOUNTAIN TOGETHER !!!

Recently I had spotted this small cap company; which I believe has a bright future ahead  -GUNUNG CAPITAL BERHAD or GUNUNG (Stock Code 7676, listed on MAIN BOARD, TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS, market cap RM 64.89M as at writing)
In summary, GUNUNG is an investment holding company whose core business is in chartering out land-based transportation assets. Its subsidiaries also involved in the development of mini hydroelectric power plants as well as property development and construction.
I noticed collection mode and considerable interest starts to build up today, 19/6/2019 where the volume registered a sizeable increase to 256.5 thousand units. This counter has been exceptionally quiet over some time.

With this positive momentum & enthusiasm ahead, I believe, should carry forward tomorrow. I foresee it trending to the next resistance of 0.35 before heading to my personal TP of  0.40 mid to long term.
MARKET TALK SAYS  THAT A REVERSE TAKE-OVER (RTO) MIGHT BE TARGETING THIS COMPANY AND BELOW ARE THE REASONS I BELIEVE TO CONTRIBUTE TOWARDS IT :
1. DBT at 45 cts (13 cts premium) Acquired by Director Dato Syed Abu Hussin Bin Hafiz Syed Abdul Fasal
Refer below images of DBT under this counter. We see that on 25 January 2019 and 12 March 2019, there was 2 DBT totalling up to 5.048 million units was performed at 45 cts (13 cts premium to closing price at the time). 
And if we further check, this acquisition was made by the largest shareholder / director of GUNUNG which is Dato Syed Abu Hussin Bin Hafiz Syed Abdul Fasal.
This brings his total shareholdings up to 27.98% of the company as at latest annual report. 
2. Financials - NTA of 41.9 cts and Low Debt Make it a Delicious Target for Takeover or Backdoor Listing
Refer below latest QR for GUNUNG. As we can, revenue had climbed while loss had been reduced compared to last quarter. 
NTA is at 41.9 cts which is a 12.4 cts premium to current closing price.
If we further dive into the financial statements, we can see that the company has a strong cash balance of RM 34.5 million, and total net assets of RM 106.3 million. 
On the liabilities section, we note that the company only has about RM 9.8 million in liabilities (RM 4.8 million in current liabilities and RM 5 million in non current liabilities). Hence, the company has a high net asset value of 41.9 cts, whilst having very low debt.
Market talk, is that there is a potential Reverse Talk Over (RTO) in motion for this company. I would not be surprised if this characteristic of company is being targeted for takeover.


3. Bright Prospect Ahead - Transport & Hydro Electric Businesses
Refer to below prospects comment in latest QR. Group has following bright prospects ahead:
i. Shuttle bus service for IIUM
ii. Contract to ferry school children for Ministry of Defense
iii. Other ad-hoc charters
iv. Commissioning of hydro projects in Perak in FY2019
v, 5 sites of hydro power with installed capacity 34.25 MW (at various stages of construction)
vi. 4 sites of hydro power with installed capacity of 97.8 MW to start construction in FY 2019
vii. Kerian site with capacity 14 MW and Sungai Slim site with capacity 6 MW is generating power based on its TNB energy purchase agreement

4. Technical Analysis - Accumulation in Progress Towards Breakout of Downtrend
Refer below weekly chart of GUNUNG.
If we look at its history, GUNUNG has been on a downtrend since May 2017 (about 2 years now). The current trading price is nearly at the year low price, hence implying very minimal downside risk. 
Once the stocks breaks the downtrend channel, the first resistance seen at 35 cts, then higher towards 40 cts. 
We can see that volume is building up reasonably, and MACD has recently crossed signal line upwards implying a bullish momentum ahead.
CONCLUSION
Considering all the above, my personal TP for GUNUNG is set at RM 0.40 (mid to long term).
I have started collecting this counter slowly as i see the downside risk very minimal as it is trading near its year low. Market talk of a possible RTO which needs to be affirmed through reliable sorces.

LET’S SEE HOW THE SHARE PRICE MOVEMENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE FORBEARING ANY GOOD CORPORATE NEWS.

寮国水力发电站11月竣工-美佳第一( MFCB 3069)料每年进账4亿

01072019 买入组合

6月完全没进场,由于中美贸易战很不明朗的情况下,暂缓。
而今天01072019 再入RM3000 持续买入 Gunung - Wa. 以 0.045 平均价买入了 66张。
一共累计了 190张。到现在为止一共平均价为 0.045。 顺道一提从上个财政年报告发现,现金大约 RM3500万。除了低负债之外,预计今年的小型水利发电业务应该会开始贡献盈利。
最主要的是,从2019年1~4月间 大股东在场外交易以 RM0.45的价钱买回了不少的母股。

这样的情况下如果股价被押着不起,就是炒家还在部署购回低价。或者说即将到来的 私有化 或 RTO 倒置收购? 不去猜测那么多,以图表形态来说已经是触底部了。至于WA 也没什么成交量再下探的可能性也很微。

买入项目
组合 股票名字 股票编号 买入日期 买入价 数量 成本 盈/亏 注解
1 Gunung-wb 7676 7/4/2019 0.047 60 2820 04/10/2020 到期 / 1:1转换 补贴 0.40
1 Gunung-wb 7676 7/5/2019 0.047 64 3008 04/10/2020 到期 / 1:1转换 补贴 0.40
1 Gunung-wb 7676 1/7/2019 0.045 66 2970 04/10/2020 到期 / 1:1转换 补贴 0.40

Friday, 21 June 2019

杨美盈.关于再生能源倡议

自从新政府上任,能源在绿色倡议特别积极,尤其是再生能源、能源效率,以及提升马来西亚电力供应结构。

新政府已经拟定于2025年,将再生能源发电率从现有的百分之二提升至百分之二十,这不包括超过100兆瓦的水力发电。意味著,我们需要在2025年生产额外3998兆瓦的再生能源。

这篇,我将和大家分享关于再生能源的倡议。 

第一,优化净电能计量政策以及推介“太阳能租赁”计划

净电能计量政策(Net Energy Metering),是一项推广安装太阳能板系统在屋顶的可再生能源计划。用户可在屋顶安装太阳能板以自行发电与用电,太阳能板系统所产生的余量电能将输出到公用电缆系统(国能),以“一比一”等价抵消电费。此计划适用于家庭、商业、工业及农业用户。

我国拥有320万个有地房产、45万个店屋、9万个排楼工厂、2万1000个独立式工厂和1000个购物中心。这些建筑的屋顶空间尚未使用,显示通过屋顶上的光伏系统产生太阳能,在国内仍有很大的潜力。

此前,消费者将太阳能光伏发电系统所产生的余量电能以每千瓦31仙出售给国能,却以超过每千瓦时50仙的价格向国能购买电能。这导致净电能计量政策在过去没有得到很好的回响。因此,能源部已经改善净电能计量政策,从2019年1月1日开始,电能的购买价格将不存在差异,以“一对一抵消”的方式,即整体电能消耗(Total electricity consumption)减去太阳能生产电能(total electricity generation)乘以电价。

净电能计量政策的改进使得屋顶太阳能系统更具吸引力,主要它允许消费者享受更低的电费。

与此同时,这些改进将鼓励更多消费者在家中安装太阳能电池板,从而促进我国太阳能产业的发展。

此外,政府已经为未来两年设定了500兆瓦的配额,项目总价值为20亿令吉。在净电能计量政策改善之前,它的申请率偏低。2018年政府提供的500兆瓦配额中,只有18.24兆瓦获得批准,这相当于百分之四。相比之下,在净电能计量政策改进之后,从2019年1月至5月,我国永续能源发展局(SEDA)共批准了16.6兆瓦配额。

此外,能源部还推出了“太阳能租赁”的概念,太阳能服务公司可以为有兴趣的用户提供“零预付费用”的太阳能安装配套,合格的太阳能服务公司名单可在该局网站查看。

第二,电力收购机制下的非太阳能可再生能源项目

电力收购机制((Feed- in Tariff)也称为FiT,旨在推广可再生能源广泛应用的政策,由可再生资源所生产的电力能够以固定价格在特定时间内出售给国能。

我国的电力收购机制涉及的可再生能源,包括:沼气(biogas)、生物质能(biomass)、地热能(geothermal)和水力发电。由于太阳能技术日趋成熟且成本更具竞争力,因此,太阳能不再属于电力收购机制津贴的再生能源。

2018年第四季度,政府提供了总计114兆瓦的可再生能源配额。其中包括小型水电75兆瓦、沼气30兆瓦和生物质10兆瓦。在过去,FiT 配额竞标遵循先到先得系统,首先投标的业者将获得优先竞标。

2018年第四季度开始的沼气发电计划的公开招标中,政府首先引入了电子招标系统,以确保最具竞争力的电力价格。

第三,大型太阳能计划

除屋顶太阳能外,能源部还推出第三回合大型太阳能项目(Large Scale Solar,

LSS),以促进马来西亚太阳能产业的发展。2019年2月14日,能源部开设了500兆瓦价值20亿令吉的大型太阳能项目。这一举措得到了很好的回应,其中已售出719份招标文件,招标将于今年底公布。

2020年,能源部将再次对大型太阳能项目进行公开招标,这些项目著重于“无法使用的土地”(unusable land),如:水坝、湖泊和屋顶。

根据一项研究,太阳能每小时每千兆瓦能生产6.65个工作机会、生物质发电能生产0.42个工作机会、煤碳是0.07个。这显示太阳能产生的就业机会,比煤炭发电高出95倍。由此可见,发展可再生能源所产生的工作机会,远远高于传统燃料发电厂产生的工作。

我们相信,发展可再生能源不仅有助于减少我国对化石燃料等常规发电的依赖、减少二氧化碳排放,甚至通过创造更多就业机会来协助我国实现经济增长。

以上是有关再生能源的倡议,下一篇我将分享关于能源效率(energy efficiecy)的倡议。

https://www.sinchew.com.my/pad/con/content_2069828.html

Wednesday, 8 May 2019

07052019 买入组合

每个月持续投资下 在5月6日进了RM3000 进去女儿户头。以平均价 RM0.047 再进 64 张 Gunung-wb. 一共累计了 124张。期待5月尾的业绩报告。希望水力发电业务能够开始贡献营业额。至于水力发电的盈利反而不太重要。当然能有盈利更好。毕竟我买入它的原因是业务转型。

买入项目
             
                 
组合 股票名字 股票编号 买入日期 买入价 数量 成本 盈/亏 注解
1 Gunung-wb 7676 7/4/2019 0.047 60 2820   04/10/2020 到期 / 1:1转换 补贴 0.40
1 Gunung-wb 7676 7/5/2019 0.047 64 3008   04/10/2020 到期 / 1:1转换 补贴 0.40
                 
                 
                 
                 

Wednesday, 24 April 2019

#豆蓉包和椰丝包

只要你会做包子皮,那么什么包内馅料都能裹入。做包子其实最有乐趣,除了等待包子搓捏后发酵,裹包子和蒸包子。都是考验耐心的禅悟之道,好啦以下为包子皮和自制椰丝的做法。

椰丝 :
1)新鲜老椰丝一粒,记得和店家要回椰子水。把椰子水200mls煮热后加入椰子糖或黑糖大约100g,接着放入4片香兰叶。待糖融化后盖闷5分钟。
2)慢火炒香椰丝(颜色稍微带金黄)然后加入事项(1)。炒至均匀稍微听见bia bia声就好了。
包子皮 :
1)500g普通面粉,细糖30g,发粉30g,干酵母11g,温水200ml . 以上能做大约10 到 11包子。
2)首先把干酵母放入温水搅拌均匀后放置3, 4分钟。面粉+糖+发粉搅拌均匀后加入酵母水,揉捏面团至表面发光。盖上保鲜膜待发酵30分钟。
3)发酵后的面团会比原先大2 至 2.5倍。面团切成小块,裹入馅料。待10分钟后第二次发酵。就可以下锅蒸15分钟。上包子配咖啡乌😁😋
This is my home made Bun with green bean paste and home made shredded coconut.
Hope all of you like it.

Sunday, 21 April 2019

#扣肉米粉

曾几何时这道菜在餐馆第一次吃到的时候,仿佛赢过四大炒(炒饭,炒面,炒果条,炒星洲米粉)几条街。但是由于不太实惠,渐渐就没落了。毕竟罐头扣肉也不便宜,自己弄的话又挺复杂。

要吃就自己来炒吧😁👌
食材和煮法 :
1)一罐红烧肉(我喜欢古龙牌), 米粉预先泡水30分钟,菜心,蒜米,小红葱,热水100ml和 芙蓉蛋切丝。

2)从罐头中取油脂爆香红葱,蒜米然后加入罐头的汤汁和热水。接着下菜心搅拌后再把米粉放进。些许胡椒粉,酱清和酱油调色。带米粉吸汗汁就可上桌。